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Geopolitics
Track the global stories, international relations, and events moving the world.
Geopolitics Markets
(24 total)
Iran
(17)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES
7.0¢
NO
94.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1429
Chance
7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17.0¢
NO
84.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $588
Chance
17%
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Continues Throughptptpt
2 markets
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.2¢
Trade Now
$100 → $100
Chance
100%
Us X Iran Effective Ceasfire Byptptpt 2 Week Pause
2 markets
YES
94.0¢
NO
7.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $106
Chance
94%
Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control By March
2 markets
YES
2.4¢
NO
98.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $4167
Chance
2%
Strait Of Hormuz Traffic Returns To Normal By August 31
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Us Announces End Of Iranian Blockade Byptptpt
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES
15.0¢
NO
86.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $667
Chance
15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES
47.0¢
NO
54.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $213
Chance
47%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
YES
4.5¢
NO
96.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $2222
Chance
5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
YES
0.6¢
NO
99.5¢
Trade Now
$100 → $16667
Chance
1%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
YES
10.0¢
NO
93.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1000
Chance
10%
Oil
(4)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Strait Of Hormuz Traffic Returns To Normal By August 31
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES
15.0¢
NO
86.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $667
Chance
15%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
YES
4.5¢
NO
96.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $2222
Chance
5%
Middle East
(4)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES
7.0¢
NO
94.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1429
Chance
7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17.0¢
NO
84.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $588
Chance
17%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
YES
0.6¢
NO
99.5¢
Trade Now
$100 → $16667
Chance
1%
Israel
(5)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES
7.0¢
NO
94.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1429
Chance
7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17.0¢
NO
84.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $588
Chance
17%
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Continues Throughptptpt
2 markets
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.2¢
Trade Now
$100 → $100
Chance
100%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
Yemen
(1)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
YES
4.5¢
NO
96.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $2222
Chance
5%
Geopolitics
(18)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES
7.0¢
NO
94.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1429
Chance
7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17.0¢
NO
84.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $588
Chance
17%
Israel X Iran Ceasefire Continues Throughptptpt
2 markets
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.2¢
Trade Now
$100 → $100
Chance
100%
Us X Iran Effective Ceasfire Byptptpt 2 Week Pause
2 markets
YES
94.0¢
NO
7.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $106
Chance
94%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control By March
2 markets
YES
2.4¢
NO
98.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $4167
Chance
2%
Strait Of Hormuz Traffic Returns To Normal By August 31
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Us Announces End Of Iranian Blockade Byptptpt
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES
15.0¢
NO
86.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $667
Chance
15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES
47.0¢
NO
54.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $213
Chance
47%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
YES
4.5¢
NO
96.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $2222
Chance
5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
YES
0.6¢
NO
99.5¢
Trade Now
$100 → $16667
Chance
1%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
YES
10.0¢
NO
93.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1000
Chance
10%
Politics
(17)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES
7.0¢
NO
94.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1429
Chance
7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17.0¢
NO
84.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $588
Chance
17%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
Which Party Will Gain Most Seats In Russian Parliamentary Election
2 markets
YES
0.5¢
NO
99.6¢
Trade Now
$100 → $20000
Chance
1%
Strait Of Hormuz Traffic Returns To Normal By August 31
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Us Announces End Of Iranian Blockade Byptptpt
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES
15.0¢
NO
86.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $667
Chance
15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES
47.0¢
NO
54.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $213
Chance
47%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
YES
4.5¢
NO
96.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $2222
Chance
5%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
YES
10.0¢
NO
93.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1000
Chance
10%
Will _ win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Will _ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Global Elections
(7)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
Which Party Will Gain Most Seats In Russian Parliamentary Election
2 markets
YES
0.5¢
NO
99.6¢
Trade Now
$100 → $20000
Chance
1%
Will _ win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Will _ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Strait of Hormuz
(7)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control By March
2 markets
YES
2.4¢
NO
98.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $4167
Chance
2%
Strait Of Hormuz Traffic Returns To Normal By August 31
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES
15.0¢
NO
86.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $667
Chance
15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES
47.0¢
NO
54.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $213
Chance
47%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
YES
4.5¢
NO
96.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $2222
Chance
5%
World
(7)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES
7.0¢
NO
94.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $1429
Chance
7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17.0¢
NO
84.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $588
Chance
17%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
Which Party Will Gain Most Seats In Russian Parliamentary Election
2 markets
YES
0.5¢
NO
99.6¢
Trade Now
$100 → $20000
Chance
1%
Will _ win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Iran Ceasefire
(6)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Us X Iran Effective Ceasfire Byptptpt 2 Week Pause
2 markets
YES
94.0¢
NO
7.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $106
Chance
94%
Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control By March
2 markets
YES
2.4¢
NO
98.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $4167
Chance
2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES
47.0¢
NO
54.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $213
Chance
47%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
YES
0.6¢
NO
99.5¢
Trade Now
$100 → $16667
Chance
1%
U.S. x Iran
(6)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Us X Iran Effective Ceasfire Byptptpt 2 Week Pause
2 markets
YES
94.0¢
NO
7.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $106
Chance
94%
Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control By March
2 markets
YES
2.4¢
NO
98.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $4167
Chance
2%
Us Announces End Of Iranian Blockade Byptptpt
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
World Elections
(6)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Which Party Will Gain Most Seats In Russian Parliamentary Election
2 markets
YES
0.5¢
NO
99.6¢
Trade Now
$100 → $20000
Chance
1%
Will _ win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Will _ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Elections
(5)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
33.0¢
NO
68.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $303
Chance
33%
Which Party Will Gain Most Seats In Russian Parliamentary Election
2 markets
YES
0.5¢
NO
99.6¢
Trade Now
$100 → $20000
Chance
1%
Will _ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 markets
YES
0.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Trade Now
$100 → $50000
Chance
0%
Peace Deal
(5)
›
View all
All
‹
›
Us X Iran Effective Ceasfire Byptptpt 2 Week Pause
2 markets
YES
94.0¢
NO
7.0¢
Trade Now
$100 → $106
Chance
94%
Us Announces End Of Iranian Blockade Byptptpt
2 markets
YES
0.4¢
NO
99.7¢
Trade Now
$100 → $25000
Chance
0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
YES
0.6¢
NO
99.5¢
Trade Now
$100 → $16667
Chance
1%
